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Electricity price fluctuations:
The Chemical Market Vibrates Sharply The chemical industry is a traditional power consumer. Among them, representative are caustic soda, calcium carbide and yellow phosphorus, and electricity constitutes the major production cost of these products. If tons of caustic soda consume about 2,400 kilowatt-hours of electricity, electricity accounts for about 60% of production costs; while electricity costs for calcium carbide and yellow phosphorus accounts for more than 70%, tons of calcium carbide consumes 3,400 kwh, and tons of yellow phosphorus consumes 14,000 kwh. Therefore, even if there is a small fluctuation in electricity prices, it directly affects the market pulse of high energy-consuming products and determines the price trend.
In the second half of last year, yellow phosphorus companies in Yunnan's main producing areas of Yunnan were generally low in the rate of power cuts, resulting in a decrease in the supply of yellow phosphorus, and a sharp increase in the prices of the domestic market. As a result, the life-thirsty market of yellow phosphorus once again restored its vigor. More than 30%. Earlier this year, the power supply in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and South China was slightly strained, and the production of local calcium carbide companies was limited. Since March, with the return of normal electricity supply and transportation in the south, the original inventory of calcium carbide enterprises in the north has been quickly digested, pushing the price of calcium carbide to rise steadily, and the mainstream price has reached a high of RMB 4,000 per ton. The price is higher. As a result, the production cost of polyvinyl chloride produced by the calcium carbide process has also been greatly increased.
Electricity prices rose:
The pain suffered by chemical companies From June 30, 2006, the country began to implement the electricity price adjustment program. The nationwide on-grid price was raised by an average of 1.174 points/kWh, and the sales price increased by an average of 2.494 points/kWh. This is the second coal-fired linkage in the country. Large-scale consumers such as synthetic ammonia, electrolytic aluminum, calcium carbide and yellow phosphorus are facing tremendous pressure for survival and are reluctant to pay for rising costs.
If calculated according to the average price, the adjustment of the electricity price will increase the national nitrogen fertilizer industry's cost by 1.46 billion yuan, and the chlor-alkali industry will increase the cost by 750 million yuan. For many years, fertilizer companies have been “contrary†to the rise in electricity prices and can only accept it in silence. In an interview with some chemical fertilizer companies, reporters learned that they had suffered too many damages: The country's preferential electricity price policy was not fully implemented in some places; many fertilizer companies were forced to launch cogeneration projects and used thermoelectric power to balance their own emissions. The electricity can not be used directly, it must be bought at low prices and then bought back at high prices...
In late January of this year, the country's winter power supply itself has reached a deficit of 70 million kilowatts, which coincides with the rare ice and snow climatic disasters for many years. This has led to a large increase in electricity consumption, which has further exacerbated the tension in the power supply in the chemical industry. In 13 provinces and cities such as Hubei, Henan, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Chongqing, Shaanxi, and Guizhou, power cuts have been imposed, and chemical companies in these regions have reduced their production or even stopped their vehicles. Production and operations have been affected to varying degrees.
Differential price:
High-energy-consuming products are limited to achieve the “Eleventh Five-Year†energy-saving and emission-reduction targets. In recent years, the country implemented large-scale industrial electricity price policies for calcium carbide, electric furnace iron alloys, electrolytic caustic soda, synthetic ammonia, and electric furnace yellow phosphorus by implementing differential electricity price and other macro-control measures. Improving market access thresholds, curbing the blind development of high-energy-consuming, high-pollution industries and disorderly production capacity expansion, and promoting industrial restructuring. In September 2007, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance, and the State Electricity Regulatory Commission jointly issued the “Notice on Further Implementing the Issues Concerning the Differential Electricity Tariff Policy†and announced the list of 10,234 high-energy-consuming enterprises that were supplied by the national grid companies in various regions. It is required to identify one by one, allowing encouraged, restricted and eliminated categories to implement the respective differential electricity prices, and restricted or eliminated enterprises to increase 0.05 yuan and 0.20 yuan per kilowatt-hour on the basis of the current electricity price respectively; gradually eliminate electrolytic aluminum and iron alloys. The electricity price of chlor-alkali enterprises is preferential, and the preferential treatment of high-energy-consumption enterprises on their own behalf in the name of direct power supply for large users and agreement power consumption ceases immediately. Among them, the electricity price concessions to the chlor-alkali industry are cancelled in principle in 2008.
Recently, for some chemical products industries with high energy consumption, high pollution, and overcapacity, the National Development and Reform Commission has successively introduced the access conditions for calcium carbide and chlor-alkali industries, and announced the list of companies that have eliminated backward production capacity in the calcium carbide, coking, and ferroalloy industries. For new or rebuilt production projects that do not meet the access requirements, the power supply department will stop the supply of electricity.
According to industry analysts, the purpose of macro-control is to optimize the industrial structure. These measures will improve the excess capacity in some industries. Some high-energy-consuming and high-polluting enterprises will be eliminated and the market supply will be reduced. However, the prices of products will also be difficult to fall back and continue to maintain a high level of consolidation.
electricity supply:
Structural contradictions still exist In recent years, the rapid economic growth in China has driven the rapid development of the power industry. As of the end of 2007, China's installed power capacity reached 713 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 14.4%, which basically guaranteed the balance of electricity supply and demand throughout the country. Take the resource-rich northwest region as an example. In 2007, the newly installed capacity was 5 million kilowatts, a cumulative total of 41.5 million kilowatts. At present, the Northwest Power Grid not only meets the demand for electricity in the region, but also has the ability to send it to other regions. It has become the first place in the country to have no shortage of electricity. During the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period, the State Grid Corporation of China will invest more than 110 billion yuan to build a new installed capacity of 31.46 million kilowatts in the Northwest Power Grid. By 2010, the scale of Northwest Electric Power Delivery will reach more than 11 million kilowatts.
Although the overall balance between supply and demand, China's electricity supply still has seasonal and regional structural contradictions. As coal prices and resources are in short supply, power companies are burdened with embarrassment. In the first quarter of this year, China’s power companies above designated size reached more than 40% of the total loss, and all five major power generation groups suffered losses. The profits of thermal power companies fell by 70% year-on-year. The personage concerned analyzed that the situation of tight supply of coal will continue at least until next year, and the pressure of rising fuel prices for electric enterprises will be difficult to ease in the short term.
Power: Containing Market Trends for High Energy-consuming Products
——Effect of related industries on the chemical market Second, electricity is the energy produced by chemical industry, and electricity is the key industry controlled by the state. In the case that the country implements differential electricity prices for high-energy-consuming products, the chemical industry will inevitably be affected. Since the second half of last year, due to the high prices of raw materials and the scarcity of resources, the prices of most chemical products in the country have risen to different degrees, and almost all have hit new highs, and the adjustment of electricity prices has played a role in fueling this.