Shinvast Industry Ltd , http://www.unisitemachining.com
In 2012, China's machine tool industry accumulated a total industrial output value of 721.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.3%. The output value of industry products was 700.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%. The industrial product sales rate was 97.1%, down 0.4% year-on-year. The industry realized a profit of 44.68 billion yuan, an increase of 3.6% year-on-year; the product sales revenue margin was 6.4%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.4%. Last year, the total amount of fixed assets investment in the machine tool industry increased by 22.8% year-on-year, a decrease of 31.9 percentage points from the growth rate in the same period of last year.
Wu Bing said that if you start from these data alone, it is still a good year-end report card, but among the various sub-sectors of machine tools, non-mainstream industries such as abrasives, woodworking machinery, foundry machinery, etc., have grown faster, which has led to overall data. Growth; and in contrast to the mainstream industry, the problem is revealed.
In the mainstream products of the machine tool industry, the gross industrial output value of the Jinqi machine tool industry from January to December was 14.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.8%. The output of gold-cutting machine tools was 797,118, of which the output of CNC machine tools reached 205,695 sets, which was 13.6% and 16.2% lower than the same period of last year. The gold-cutting machine tool industry achieved a profit of 5.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 30.4%. The profit margin of product sales was 4.1%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.5 percentage points.
Another mainstream product, the forming machine tool industry, achieved a total industrial output value of 62.0 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%. The output of forming machine tools was 224,600, of which the output of CNC machine tools reached 13,105 units, which was a decrease of 4.8% and 35.6% year-on-year respectively. The molding machine tool industry achieved a profit of 4.13 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.3%, and the product sales profit margin was 7.0%, down 0.5% year-on-year.
The China Machine Tool Industry Association's statistical data on 217 key contact companies also showed significant differences from the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics. According to the statistics of the association, last year, the total value of industrial output of key connected enterprises fell by 15.8% year-on-year. Among them, the production value of gold-cutting machine tools fell by 17.9% year-on-year, of which the output value of CNC machine tools fell by 12.3% year-on-year; the production of gold-cutting machines decreased by 29.1% year-on-year, of which CNC cut output was down by 15.4% year-on-year. The output value of forming machine tools decreased by 7% year-on-year, of which the output value of CNC forming machines decreased by 10.7% year-on-year; the output of forming machine tools increased by 18.8% year-on-year, of which the output of CNC machine tools decreased by 21.1% year-on-year.
Among the sub-industries, industrial output of numerical control systems and rolling functional components fell the most in the two small industries, down 38.4% and 34.2% year-on-year respectively; the machine tool accessories industry decreased 22.8% year-on-year; the decline in the number of small cutting tools and machine tool industries was relatively low. Small, 2.7% and 2.3% respectively.
According to the statistical data of the newly-added orders of the association's key linking companies, the downward pressure on the operation trend is still relatively large. Wu Berlin told reporters: "As of December 2012, new orders have been negative for 19 consecutive months, and the decline has been large. From March of last year, cumulative monthly new orders have fallen by more than 30% year-on-year."
According to the comprehensive data, it can be seen that the current machine tool industry has reached a steady trend, but the situation is more severe and the pressure on the company has increased.
From the pyramids to the water droplets Looking at the 2012 machine tool market, not only production and sales declined, but also the market demand changed rapidly, placing higher demands on manufacturers. Wu Bolin analyzed that the upgrade of market demand is reflected in two aspects: one is the level of product technology, and the other is the comprehensive requirements of users on manufacturing. In terms of product technology level, high-level, personalized machine tool products with high rigidity, high precision, high efficiency, compoundness and other characteristics required in the automotive, aerospace, aerospace, military, and IT fields are still hot spots in the market, for example, to increase emission standards for automobiles. The service process equipment can be said to be in short supply; in terms of the manufacturer's comprehensive requirements, it is required to provide an overall solution, delivery time, pre-sales and after-sales service have put forward higher requirements.
In the face of this kind of change, the advantages of enterprises with superior levels of hardware and software can be fully realized, and they can buck the trend. Some companies even have a 60% increase in sales revenue over the same period last year! However, for the entire industry, the contradiction between product structure and market demand is even more prominent.
According to Wu Bolin, on the basis of an increase in import value of 40% in 2011, the year-on-year growth of Jinqie's machine tool imports still reached 6.03%, and the single-unit value increased by 8%. According to the international tendering recently understood by the association, the amount of bids for foreign high-end machine tools has risen sharply. It can be seen that the competitiveness of domestic high-end products is still weak.
"At present, general-purpose low-grade product supply capacity is obviously in surplus. In 2012, the output of CNC machine tools decreased by 16.2%. In the case of the market price of products, the average price per unit rose by 2.8%. It shows that the market has not only reduced the demand for ordinary machine tools, but also greatly reduced the demand for economical CNC machine tools,†Wu said.
This indicates that the pyramid-shaped market demand structure has started to drop into the drop shape, that is, the low-end demand is reduced and the demand for mid-range machine tools has increased.
The industry chain of China's machine tool industry is not complete. The main ribs of heavy machines and light components still exist. Despite the support of some industrial policies, the key functional components and parts of the machine tool are still in a weak position. The dependence of imports on the key functional components of medium and high-end machine tools also restricts the process of the machine tool industry from becoming stronger.
For the industry trend in 2013, the Machine Tool Association believes that the trend may be low, high or high throughout the year, and the total output value will maintain a growth rate of around 10%.