Ten years later, the seven major development trends of Shanghai's automobile industry

China's auto market has been sitting on the world's top spot for two years, but R&D technology is still weak. The outside world is very exciting. It is of great significance to understand the development trend of the world's automotive industry for the next step. Let's take a look at the next decade, what will the car look like? It is not an illusion that the automobile is going into the sea to enter the sea. The car companies have devoted themselves to it for many years. The money spent is not calculated in terms of millions, but in billions or even billions.

Seven development trend <br> <br> a car, the car can be heaven into the sea

It is the dream of many people to put wings on cars and get rid of traffic jams. This dream is becoming a reality. The “flying car” is already in its infancy, and the driver can complete the deformation from the car to the aircraft “without leaving the car”. The car has been approved by the U.S. aviation authority and production will start in the next two years, 2013. In addition, both land and sea vehicles have also been out of the laboratory.

Comments: Do not worry about the reliability and safety of this type of car. Europe and the United States are among the countries that are most concerned with car safety in the world. It has not been possible to bring it to the market without thousands of trials. However, the atmosphere of Chinese civilized driving is far from being formed. There are also frequent problems with “planar driving” on the road. Once it is upgraded to “three-dimensional driving” that can fly and go to the sea, the accident may be even more.

Second, automatic driving

At the beginning of the year, Google announced the successful development of self-driving cars and safely traveled 140,000 kilometers. According to reports, self-driving cars use intelligent software and sensor equipment to “read” traffic lights, identify sidewalks and obstacles, and simulate human intelligence to respond appropriately to traffic conditions.

Comments: Autopilot is first used for military purposes, and then transferred to civil use. It is widely used in aerospace. When civil aviation aircraft are cruising at high altitudes, they are usually controlled by an autopilot system rather than the driver. The reason why auto-driving can't be promoted because the complexity of the road is much higher than in the air. It is difficult for the computer system to judge all unexpected situations.

Third, no oil

Cars do not use oil, but electricity, that is, using electric vehicles instead of gasoline and diesel vehicles, is the hottest topic in the automotive industry in the past two years. Toyota, Honda, Volkswagen, Ford, General Motors, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Hyundai, and even Bosch have all developed ambitious "electrification" strategies. These strategies also point to one point in time: 2020. By then, electrified cars will account for at least 5% of the total car sales.

Comments: Battery prices and energy density still constrain the electrification process. It is true that “does not use oil and electricity” is a general trend, but just as “the prospects are bright, the road is tortuous,” and the full realization of electrification of automobiles is not as easy as it seems.

Fourth, as small as possible

Developed cars are as small as possible, small in size, and small in displacement. Smart cars, Fiat 500, and other cars are popular in Europe. Even North America is thinking about the correctness of large-displacement, large fuel consumption, and full-scale vehicle-building ideas. The displacement of 0.6L or 0.8L can only be squeezed into two people's car has been mass production.

Comments: The Chinese people like carts. The bigger cars are, the more popular they are, but this obviously does not match China's national conditions. In the next decade, the Chinese automobile industry wants to develop in a healthy and orderly manner. The most important issue that should be solved first is "the proliferation of carts." Full promotion of the car is the only way out for Chinese cars.

V. No death

The death of a car accident is not only a goal pursued by car companies, but also one of the tasks of the United Nations. "Accidents do not kill people" seem to be an impossible task, but Volvo has declared on various occasions that by 2020, it will be possible to achieve an auto accident.

Comments: Volvo is using various kinds of active or passive technologies to protect the safety of passengers and passers-by during car accidents, but note that they only promised not to die without mentioning injuries. There have been a few deaths from car accidents, but the number of injured people is more than ten times that.

Six, as light as possible

From iron to steel, from steel to aluminum, from aluminum to carbon fiber... Since the day the car was born, R&D personnel have been trying hard to make cars lose weight. Carbon fiber is currently a light-weight, high-strength material that, no accident, will be widely used in cars in the future. Recently, BMW launched the M3 carbon fiber roof version in China. The entire roof was made of carbon fiber and successfully reduced the weight by 5 kg.

Comments: With the development of technology, the price of carbon fiber materials will surely come down, and related casting technologies will be overcome; not only that, lighter and better new materials will emerge. Therefore, the car in the future will only be lighter. Lightweight body has many advantages, such as better fuel economy and better maneuverability.

Seven, car networking

In the car send and receive e-mail, call, understand the road congestion in front, real-time road rescue and other "car networking" function has appeared in the production car, Toyota's G-book, General Anjixing are similar systems. This is just a preliminary "car network."

The future "car networking" will also include "automatic" functions such as automatic driving, automatic car search, automatic refueling or charging.

Comments: Cars change lives, the network changes the car. The Internet has penetrated into all aspects of life. Why Google is willing to make great efforts to develop automatic driving, to a large extent, it has the most powerful Internet technology.