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The price increase of refined oil was at the time, “oil prices should have risen. Since the price of refined oil was raised on June 20, the pace of oil prices has been slowed down in line with international standards. The government has not yet raised its price again because it is worried that prices on the macroeconomic front will rise too fast. However, the inflation rate of 4.9% today shows that we have the ability to absorb some of the adverse effects of the rise in refined oil products,†an oil expert from the China Energy Research Institute told reporters.
It has been estimated that for every 10% increase in oil prices, the increase in CPI is about 0.5%. Some analysts also said that as long as the CPI rose below 8%, it could withstand the pressure of rising oil prices.
The expert pointed out that the current price control of refined oil is not conducive to the long-term development of the economy. Now that the price of crude oil has dropped, CPI is also falling sharply, so it is the best time for the price of refined oil to be liberalized. If you let go now, our price will not have to be increased a lot and it will be in line with international oil prices.
“How is the trend of international oil prices still uncertain? The oil price linked to the US dollar may rebound. The subprime mortgage crisis is far from bottoming out. The U.S. economy has shown signs of recession. It can't be ruled out in the long term that crude oil prices will rise. The price of refined oil is being used,†said a researcher at the Guangzhou Institute of Energy Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences.
Yesterday, OPEC decided to cut production quotas and cut the current daily production quota of 29.97 million barrels of crude oil to 28.8 million barrels, which will take effect 40 days later. After the announcement of the OPEC communique, the international oil price fell instantly. This OPEC decision was mainly due to concerns about slowing demand.
Only when the international oil price reached the level of 80 US dollars per barrel, China's refined oil prices will not be upside down. With the current international oil price maintained at around US$100 per barrel, there is still a gap of more than 1,000 yuan per ton between domestic refined oil prices and international prices.
Because of this, Qin Xiaobin, director of strategic analysis at China Galaxy Securities Research Institute, told reporters that international oil prices still have some space to explore, and may break 100 in the near future. Where is the bottom of oil prices in the future? If you are still waiting for a while, wait. As the price of oil continues to fall, there is less risk of an impact on rising prices.
Or New Deal was introduced When the international oil price hovered at a high of US$140 per barrel, PetroChina, Sinopec and other companies suffered huge losses, and domestic refined oil prices were “forced†to raise prices. Compared with the academic community's view that the timing of the release of the price is ripe, there is no movement at the policy level.
Xu Kunlin, deputy director of the price division of the National Development and Reform Commission, refused to interview reporters because of inconvenient answers, but did not directly deny that the reporter will issue a new policy in the near future.
Earlier, it was reported that the decision-making level has made clear the idea of ​​refined oil price reform. Zhang Guobao, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission and director of the National Energy Administration, recently stated that changes in domestic refined oil prices after the Olympic Games will be adjusted according to the overall economic development status and the energy situation at home and abroad.
“The domestic refined oil price is in line with the international trend. According to the fluctuation of the international crude oil price, a linkage mechanism for the refined oil price will be established, and the fuel tax will be introduced in due course. The government will be able to restrain the consumption of refined oil by increasing the fuel tax. Qin Xiaobin said.
Although the time has ripened, some experts pointed out that due to the Century System Project, which has a major impact on important industries such as automobiles, the adjustment of refined oil prices and energy prices still needs to be gradual. In fact, as early as in 2005, the refined oil pricing mechanism scheme has gradually formed, but the current price of refined oil products is still priced by the government on the basis of the market.
Refined oil: The timing of price increases seems to be mature or a New Deal has been introduced
Yesterday, the international oil price hit a new low, and the August CPI announced by the National Bureau of Statistics plunged to 4.9%. Experts said that it would be a good time for refined oil to meet international demand.